One way to measure the magnitude of a flood is by calculating its statistical recurrence interval based on past floods. You often hear of the 100-year recurrence-interval flood, this simply means that there is a 1% (1 in 100) chance of this flood being exceeded in a given year. None of the flooding this past weekend approached these levels. The recurrence intervals of peak flows at USGS streamflow gages on January 23 to 26, 1999 were less than 10 years, most less than 2 years. A 2-year recurrence-interval flood is a flood that has a 1 in 2 chance of being exceeded in any given year (greater than 50% chance).
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*** NOTE ALL DATA ARE PROVISIONAL ***
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Recurrence
Site ID Station Name Interval Date
-------- ------------------- ---------- -------
01318500 Hudson R. at Hadley <2 yr 1/26/99
01334500 Hoosic R. @ Eagle Br 3 yr 1/24/99
01350000 Schoharie Cr.
@ Prattsville. <2 yr 1/24/99
01357500 Mohawk R. @ Cohoes <2 yr 1/25/99
01372500 Wappinger Cr
@ Wappingers Falls <2 yr 1/25/99
01413500 E. Br. Delaware R.
@ Margaretville <2 yr 1/24/99
01420500 Beaver Kill @ Cooks Fl 5 yr 1/24/99
01423000 W. Br. Delaware @ Walton <2 yr 1/24/99
04217000 Tonawanda Cr at Batavia 3 yr 1/24/99
04218000 Tonawanda Cr at Rapids 2 yr 1/26/99
04218518 Ellicott Cr
below Williamsville 7 yr 1/25/99
04260500 Black R. @ Watertown <2 yr 1/24/99
04262500 W. Br. Oswegatchie
@ Harris 6 yr 1/25/99
04280450 Mettawee R nr M Granville 9 yr 1/24/99
Contact name: Gary Firda
email:
gfirda@usgs.gov
phone: 518-285-5671
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Last modified: Wed Jan 27 14:09:35 1999